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The dragon capsule isn’t going to suddenly fall out of orbit somewhere unexpected…
It’s highly unlikely, but the possibility isn’t 0. Like, what if an untracked asteroid hits it out of orbit?
There are around 50,000 Starlink near misses per year.
Well, the chance isn’t zero, but that example, being knocked out (disabled or destroyed) by an asteroid has never happened to any spacecraft, ever. Statically the chances of that happening are very very close to zero.
